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skillboardThis skill covers Bayesian estimation and inference in quantitative social science. Use when the user is specifying priors, running MCMC, diagnosing chain convergence, or reporting posterior summaries — including hierarchical models, Bayesian structural models, and small-sample settings where priors regularize. Triggers on "Bayesian estimation", "Bayesian inference", "MCMC", "Markov chain Monte Carlo", "Stan", "PyMC", "NumPyro", "prior", "posterior", "credible interval", "Bayesian structural", "Bayesian BLP", "Bayesian DSGE", "hierarchical model", "random effects Bayesian", "posterior predictive check", "Bayes factor", "prior predictive check", "NUTS", "HMC", "Hamiltonian Monte Carlo", "R-hat", "rhat", "effective sample size", "ESS", "Bayesian calibration", "posterior distribution", "prior elicitation", "weakly informative prior", "brms", "rstanarm", "cmdstanpy", "pymc", "arviz".
Bayesian Estimation Reference for Bayesian estimation in quantitative social science: from prior elicitation to MCMC implementation to posterior reporting. Covers the full workflow of specifying a Bayesian model, running inference, diagnosing convergence, and communicating results — with applications to structural models, hierarchical designs, and small sample settings. When to Use This Skill Use when the user is: Specifying priors and setting up a Bayesian model in Stan, PyMC, NumPyro, brms,…
Full body not shown for this license – view the source on GitHub →Copy a source-pinned command for your client. You run it yourself.
Destination: .claude/skills/bayesian-estimation · pinned to the source commit
# Run from your project root
git clone https://github.com/brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills.git .skillboard-tmp
git -C .skillboard-tmp checkout 692e9fa3fea40bbdf614584d461851f8fb968ac2
mkdir -p ".claude/skills"
cp -r ".skillboard-tmp/skills/11-James-Traina-compound-science/skills/bayesian-estimation" ".claude/skills/"
rm -rf .skillboard-tmpReview the source before running. This copies files into your project; it is not a one-click install and does not verify runtime safety.
sudo apt update && sudo apt install -y gitnpm install -g @anthropic-ai/claude-code# Run from your project root
git clone https://github.com/brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills.git .skillboard-tmp
git -C .skillboard-tmp checkout 692e9fa3fea40bbdf614584d461851f8fb968ac2
mkdir -p ".claude/skills"
cp -r ".skillboard-tmp/skills/11-James-Traina-compound-science/skills/bayesian-estimation" ".claude/skills/"
rm -rf .skillboard-tmpDestination: .claude/skills/bayesian-estimation
Scanner static-checks@0.1.0 · commit 692e9fa3fea4. Static checks cannot prove runtime safety – review the source and the exact diff before installing. How checks work.
No static rules matched. This is not a safety guarantee.